Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.116972 0.130144 0.143611 0.158371 0.174057 0.190196 0.208019
2024-10-27 0.097654 0.115812 0.135088 0.156946 0.180921 0.206301 0.235082
2024-11-03 0.085164 0.106821 0.130566 0.158263 0.189418 0.223136 0.262142
2024-11-10 0.076947 0.101442 0.129069 0.162068 0.199963 0.241707 0.290761
2024-11-17 0.068052 0.094293 0.124719 0.161895 0.205417 0.254139 0.312195
2024-11-24 0.062469 0.090471 0.123734 0.165167 0.214455 0.270362 0.337733
2024-12-01 0.056671 0.085821 0.121292 0.166310 0.220684 0.283122 0.359146
2024-12-08 0.050966 0.080783 0.117952 0.165997 0.224883 0.293295 0.377402
2024-12-15 0.046513 0.076986 0.115840 0.166910 0.230332 0.304774 0.397073
2024-12-22 0.041811 0.072466 0.112487 0.166002 0.233341 0.313193 0.413025
2024-12-29 0.039288 0.070731 0.112580 0.169307 0.241431 0.327636 0.436099
2025-01-05 0.036030 0.067695 0.110747 0.169974 0.246116 0.337889 0.454132
2025-01-12 0.032592 0.064242 0.108296 0.169881 0.249992 0.347404 0.471655
2025-01-19 0.029037 0.060318 0.104976 0.168463 0.252062 0.354634 0.486394
2025-01-26 0.026704 0.058082 0.103863 0.169875 0.257682 0.366215 0.506434
2025-02-02 0.025340 0.057270 0.104697 0.173870 0.266624 0.381943 0.531601
2025-02-09 0.022922 0.054521 0.102574 0.173698 0.270050 0.390724 0.548219
2025-02-16 0.021666 0.053620 0.103089 0.177122 0.278177 0.405424 0.572181
2025-02-23 0.019948 0.051763 0.102069 0.178319 0.283304 0.416312 0.591425
2025-03-02 0.018012 0.049335 0.100046 0.177992 0.286325 0.424476 0.607263
2025-03-09 0.016528 0.047592 0.098977 0.178948 0.291016 0.434750 0.625741
2025-03-16 0.014768 0.045141 0.096661 0.177998 0.293051 0.441564 0.639851
2025-03-23 0.014026 0.044622 0.097384 0.181453 0.301081 0.456130 0.663769